EX-YU markets set for strong winter growth
Several country markets in the former Yugoslavia will see considerable scheduled seat capacity growth this winter season. According to the data and analytics company Cirium, previously known as FlighGlobal, which analyses trends within aviation and the wider travel industry, Montenegro will see the biggest change (absolute percentage growth) in departing seats on the European continent during the 2019/20 winter season compared to 2018/19. On the other hand, Slovenia will see the biggest reduction, as a result of Adria Airways’ collapse. Montenegro will register a 28.1% increase in winter capacity, outperforming the second placed country market Albania. Montenegro’s growth is supported by Ryanair, which has become the nation’s third busiest airline. The low cost carrier anticipates handling over 175.000 passengers on its flights to and from Montenegro this year, up from 150.000 in 2018.
Macedonia will enjoy an 18% increase in capacity, the third largest growth rate in Europe. The increase is being driven by Wizz Air, which added a number of new routes out of Skopje and Ohrid this summer season and based its fifth aircraft in the Macedonian capital. As a result, the low cost airline will be operating 38 routes to sixteen countries from Skopje this winter. Bosnia and Herzegovina’s winter capacity will grow 16.8%. This is the result of a stronger season at Sarajevo Airport, which will see additional frequencies by Turkish Airlines, Eurowings’ new service from Berlin launched this summer, as well as FlyBosnia’s new flights to London and Rome. The country’s capacity growth will be further driven by Ryanair in Banja Luka. The airline anticipates handling some 135.000 passengers on flights to and from the city this year.
Serbia’s scheduled seat capacity will increase 14% this winter, with Air Serbia fuelling the growth with an additional eighteen new routes from Belgrade and Niš and an extra Airbus A319 aircraft in its fleet. In neighbouring Croatia, the change in departing seats will stand at 2.2%. On the other hand, despite the rapid response from various carriers to the collapse of Adria Airways in Ljubljana, scheduled capacity in Slovenia is still expected to fall 38.8% this winter. Overall, the biggest volume increase in seats looks set to be in the Turkish market where scheduled capacity will increase by over 12%, which is equivalent to an additional 5.2 million seats.
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